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The Signal and the Noise - The Art and Scienc...
Häftad bok. Penguin Books Ltd. 2013. 534 sidor.
Nära nyskick. Språk engelska. Boken handlar om hur man skiljer viktig information från brus när man gör prognoser och bedömningar i en osäker värld. Nate Silver visar med exempel från bland annat politik, ekonomi, väder och sport att bra prognoser kräver sannolikhetstä läs mer … läs mer
Inrikes enhetsfrakt Sverige: 62 SEK- ISBN
- 9780141975658
- Titel
- The Signal and the Noise - The Art and Science of Prediction
- Författare
- Nate Silver
- Förlag
- Penguin Books Ltd.
- Utgivningsår
- 2013
- Omfång
- 534 sidor
- Bandtyp
- Mått
- 130 x 198 mm Ryggbredd 23 mm
- Vikt
- 374 g
- Språk
- English
- Baksidestext
- Every time we choose a route to work, decide whether to go on a second date, or set aside money for a rainy day, we are making a prediction about the future. Yet from the financial crisis to ecological disasters, we routinely fail to foresee hugely significant events, often at great cost to society. In "The Signal and the Noise", the "New York Times" political forecaster Nate Silver, who accurately predicted the results of every single state in the 2012 US election, reveals how we can all develop better foresight in an uncertain world. From the stock market to the poker table, from earthquakes to the economy, he takes us on an enthralling insider's tour of the high-stakes world of forecasting, showing how we can use information in a smarter way amid a noise of data - and make better predictions in our own lives.
Penguin Books Ltd. 9780141975658 -
Inrikes enhetsfrakt Sverige: 62 SEK
- ISBN
- 9780593491645
- Titel
- On the Edge
- Författare
- Silver, Nate
- Förlag
- Penguin USA
- Utgivningsår
- 2025
- Omfång
- 576 sidor
- Bandtyp
- Mått
- 0 x 220 mm Ryggbredd 30 mm
- Vikt
- 460 g
- Språk
- English
- Baksidestext
- In the bestselling The Signal and the Noise, Nate Silver showed how forecasting would define the age of Big Data. Now, in this timely and riveting new book, Silver investigates “the River,” the community of like-minded people whose mastery of risk allows them to shape—and dominate—so much of modern life. These professional risk-takers—poker players and hedge fund managers, crypto true believers and blue-chip art collectors—can teach us much about navigating the uncertainty of the twenty-first century. By immersing himself in the worlds of Doyle Brunson, Peter Thiel, Sam Bankman-Fried, Sam Altman, and many others, Silver offers insight into a range of issues that affect us all, from the frontiers of finance to the future of AI. Most of us don’t have traits commonly found in the River: high tolerance for risk, appreciation of uncertainty, affinity for numbers—paired with an instinctive distrust of conventional wisdom and a competitive drive so intense it can border on irrational. For those in the River, complexity is baked in, and the work is how to navigate it. People in the River have increasing amounts of wealth and power in our society, and understanding their mindset—and the flaws in their thinking— is key to understanding what drives technology and the global economy today. Taking us behind the scenes from casinos to venture capital firms, and from the FTX inner sanctum to meetings of the effective altruism movement, On the Edge is a deeply reported, all-access journey into a hidden world of power brokers and risk-takers.[Bokinfo]
9780593491645
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The Signal and the Noise - The Art and Science of Prediction Nate Silver Pocket. 2013. Penguin Books Ltd. 1 ex 129 SEK
